Thursday 3 February 2011

FOOD DEMAND = FOOD PRICES = FOOD RIOTS = CHAOS

Food prices and other commodity values have been rising considerably during the last few years and particularly since the 2008 global financial crisis.


There are several structural reasons for this which have been discussed in earlier blogs.

While in the West, we find these inflationary food prices annoying or worrying or stressful (depending on which social level you exist), it is becoming a far more desperate story for others around the world.

Here in the UK, an individuals food budget is not too significant, and we can always cut down on other things, shop around, find offers and bargains etc.

When food begins to take significant proportions of a family's budget, people begin to attach a political dimension to their concerns and this may result in protests, riots and even regime change.

Here is a list of 25 countries that like Egypt and Tunisia are finding that their food budget is getting out of control. The list shows the percentage of household income that is spent on food:

Venezuela 32.6 %
Lebanon 34.1 %
Latvia 34.3 %
Tunisia 36.0 %
Libya 37.2 %
Dominican Republic 38.3 %
Sri Lanka 39.6 %
China 39.8 %

Romania 45.4 %
Philippines 45.6 %
Kenya 45.8 %
Angola 46.1 %
Pakistan 47.6 %
Egypt 48.1 %
India 49.5 %
Bulgaria 49.5 %
Vietnam 50.7 %
Sudan 52.9 %
Algeria 53.0 %
Bangladesh 53.8%
Azerbaijan 60.2 %
Ukraine 61.0 %
Morocco 63.0 %
Nigeria 73.0 %

It's not just armies that march on their stomachs.

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